Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.005703 0.006032 0.006373 0.006754 0.007168 0.007605 0.008104
2026-01-04 0.005204 0.005688 0.006216 0.006835 0.007547 0.008344 0.009311
2026-01-11 0.004820 0.005383 0.006015 0.006782 0.007698 0.008767 0.010123
2026-01-18 0.004552 0.005170 0.005881 0.006769 0.007862 0.009181 0.010924
2026-01-25 0.004310 0.004962 0.005728 0.006707 0.007944 0.009483 0.011586
2026-02-01 0.004205 0.004907 0.005747 0.006846 0.008272 0.010101 0.012694
2026-02-08 0.004036 0.004761 0.005642 0.006816 0.008374 0.010422 0.013420
2026-02-15 0.003898 0.004643 0.005564 0.006811 0.008499 0.010775 0.014207
2026-02-22 0.003735 0.004485 0.005422 0.006711 0.008487 0.010931 0.014716
2026-03-01 0.003591 0.004344 0.005296 0.006623 0.008480 0.011089 0.015230
2026-03-08 0.003492 0.004257 0.005235 0.006617 0.008585 0.011407 0.016012
2026-03-15 0.003322 0.004069 0.005033 0.006406 0.008385 0.011262 0.016043
2026-03-22 0.003249 0.004008 0.004998 0.006429 0.008525 0.011638 0.016959
2026-03-29 0.003199 0.003977 0.005003 0.006506 0.008749 0.012155 0.018157
2026-04-05 0.003109 0.003887 0.004923 0.006457 0.008777 0.012366 0.018846
2026-04-12 0.003037 0.003820 0.004870 0.006444 0.008860 0.012665 0.019717
2026-04-19 0.002955 0.003735 0.004790 0.006387 0.008868 0.012841 0.020376
2026-04-26 0.002938 0.003739 0.004835 0.006516 0.009176 0.013536 0.022088
2026-05-03 0.002872 0.003673 0.004778 0.006488 0.009229 0.013798 0.022983
2026-05-10 0.002817 0.003621 0.004737 0.006483 0.009317 0.014124 0.024043
2026-05-17 0.002739 0.003533 0.004643 0.006390 0.009255 0.014179 0.024540
2026-05-24 0.002668 0.003453 0.004557 0.006307 0.009205 0.014251 0.025080
2026-05-31 0.002621 0.003408 0.004521 0.006302 0.009285 0.014565 0.026185